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首页» 过刊浏览» 2023» Vol.8» Issue(1) 112-124     DOI : 10.3969/j.issn.2096-1693.2023.01.008
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长距离氢气管道运输的技术经济分析
朱珠, 廖绮, 邱睿, 梁永图, 宋悦, 薛杉
1 中国石油大学 (北京)机械与储运工程学院,城市油气输配技术北京市重点实验室,北京 102249 2 中国石油天然气管道工程有限公司,北京 100724
Technical and economic analysis on long-distance hydrogen pipeline transportation
ZHU Zhu, LIAO Qi, QIU Rui, LIANG Yongtu, SONG Yue, XUE Shan
1 Beijing Key Laboratory of Urban Oil and Gas Distribution Technology, China University of Petroleum-Beijing, Beijing 102249, China 2 China National Petroleum Pipeline Engineering Co., Ltd, Beijing 100724, China

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摘要  管道输氢是实现氢气大规模、长距离运输的有效方式,然而受高投资和运行成本影响,实现管道输送氢 气并非易事。现阶段,技术经济模型可对管道的各个阶段进行预可行性和可行性评估,并描述管道的技术内容 和特点,而对于氢气管道,已有国内外氢气管道研究通常将氢气管道视为氢供应链流程中运输环节的一种运输 方式进行宏观供应链系统优化,而无法反映管道的详细技术特征和市场变化,导致氢气管道成本的大幅度变化。 为此,本文结合现有管道的技术特征与成本分析法,建立了氢气管道的预算型技术经济模型,分析了氢气管道 的主要构成成本、氢气管道平准化成本与运输规模之间的关系,并采用氢气平准化成本为分析指标进行氢气管 道运输与长管拖车、天然气掺氢管道和液氢槽车运输方式的对比,最终获取国内纯氢管道的投资建设成本范围 和平准化成本范围。此外,本文提出降低氢气管道运输成本的主要方式为提高氢气输送规模、改造现有油气管 道与优化包含氢气管道的运输方式布局。研究结果显示:①当设计输量为 2040 年的需求量时,氢气管道运行 结果为选取管径为 DN500 的氢气管道进行运输,沿线站场压力满足要求且管线流速均在安全范围内。②对于给 定的 150~550 km管道,当设计输量为 2040 年的需求量时,总建设投资范围为 9.66×108~ 35.43×108 CNY。③ 氢气管道运输平准化成本随运输距离增加而增加,当运输规模一定时,平准化成本最高不超过 10.12 CNY/kg。 ④在给定运输规模和不同的运输距离下,氢气管道运输成本较长管拖车和液氢槽车具有价格优势,价格范围在 2.76~10.12 CNY/kg。研究成果可为纯氢管道的成本估算提供依据,对合理选择氢气管道工程投资和经济效益评 价对比分析具有重要意义,为管道建设提供参考。
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关键词 : 氢气管道;技术经济模型;技术设计;成本分析;平准化成本
Abstract

Pipeline is an effective way to convey large-volumn hydrogen for long distance. However, due to high investment and operating costs, it is not easy to transport hydrogen by pipelines. At this stage, a techno-economic model can carry out pre-feasibility and feasibility assessment on each stage of the pipeline, and describe the technical content and characteristics of the pipeline. For hydrogen pipeline, the existing domestic and foreign research on hydrogen pipeline generally regards the hydrogen pipeline as a transportation mode of the transportation link in the hydrogen supply chain process for macro supply chain system optimization, but cannot reflect the detailed technical characteristics and market changes of the pipeline. This has led to significant changes in the cost of hydrogen pipelines. Aming at this issue, this paper combines with the technical characteristics of existing pipelines and cost analysis method to develop a technical-economic model, analyzes the relationship between the main composition cost of hydrogen pipeline, the levelized cost of hydrogen pipeline and the transportation scale, and uses the levelized cost of hydrogen as the analysis index to compare the transportation mode of hydrogen pipeline with that of long-pipe trailer, natural gas hydrogen blending pipeline and liquid hydrogen tank car. Finally, the investment and construction cost range and levelized cost range of domestic hydrogen pipeline will be obtained. In addition, this paper proposes the main ways to reduce the transportation cost of hydrogen pipeline, mainly including increasing the scale of hydrogen transportation, reforming the existing oil and gas pipeline and optimizing the transportation mode layout including hydrogen pipeline. The research results show that: ① When the design throughput is the demand in 2040, the operation result of the hydrogen pipeline is to select the DN500 hydrogen pipeline for transportation, and the pressure of the stations along the line meets the requirements and the flow rate of the pipeline is within the safe range. ② Given the design capacity, the total construction investment range is 9.66×108 ~35.43×108 CNY for 150~155 km pipelines. ③ The levelized transportation cost of hydrogen pipeline increases with the increase of transportation distance but is no more than 10.12 CNY/kg when the transportation scale is constant. ④ Compared with long tube trailers and liquid hydrogen tankers, the cost of hydrogen pipeline transportation has price advantage under given transportation scale and different transportation distance, and the price range is 2.76 ~10.12 CNY/kg. The research results can provide the basis for the cost estimation of pure hydrogen pipeline, have important significance for the reasonable selection of hydrogen pipeline project investment and economic benefit evaluation and comparative analysis, and provide reference for pipeline construction.

Key words: hydrogen pipeline; technical economic model; technical design; cost analysis; levelized cost
收稿日期: 2023-02-28     
PACS:    
基金资助:国家自然科学基金项目“面向大规模成品油管网调度的数据解析与优化融合方法” (52202405) 资助
通讯作者: qliao@cup.edu.cn
引用本文:   
朱珠, 廖绮, 邱睿, 梁永图, 宋悦, 薛杉. 长距离氢气管道运输的技术经济分析. 石油科学通报, 2023, 01: 112-124 ZHU Zhu, LIAO Qi, QIU Rui, LIANG Yongtu, SONG Yue, XUE Shan. Technical and economic analysis of long-distance hydrogen pipeline transportation. Petroleum Science Bulletin, 2023, 01: 112-124
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