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石油开发利用的水资源稀缺性评价研究
冯翠洋, 赵佳龙, 尹琳琳
中国矿业大学( 北京) 管理学院,北京100083
Water scarcity assessment for oil development and utilization
FENG Cuiyang, ZHAO Jialong, YIN Linlin
School of Management, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, China

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摘要  石油是关系到国家安全的重要战略资源,但现阶段其开发利用受到了水资源的约束。已有研究通过水足 迹和虚拟水等指标对石油开发利用的水资源使用情况进行了测算,但不能够全面地反映其面临的水资源脆弱性。本研究基于投入产出分析方法,考虑区域水资源压力,构建了稀缺水足迹评估模型和虚拟稀缺水贸易测算模型,从石油开发利用对稀缺水资源的消耗和对虚拟稀缺水贸易的驱动两个角度进行了综合评价。结果表明,将区域水资源压力纳入水资源使用评估,可以更好地反映中国区域石油开发利用面临的水资源约束。对于宁夏回族自治区等区域,虽然在石油开发利用中使用的水资源量不多,但却面临着严重的水资源稀缺性问题,尤其是石油、炼焦产品和核燃料加工品面临着较大的水资源短缺压力。为了有效缓解上述区域在石油开发利用中面临的水资源脆弱性,有必要从区域和部门层面对关键虚拟稀缺水流动进行识别和管理。从区域层面结果来看,需要重点关注新疆维吾尔自治区、黑龙江省等虚拟稀缺水净流出区域对浙江省、辽宁省等虚拟稀缺水净流入区域在石油开发利用中的虚拟稀缺水转移。从部门层面结果来看,需要重点关注能源类行业和农业对石油、炼焦产品和核燃料加工品的虚拟稀缺水的转移。为了有效缓解石油开发利用中面临的水资源压力,本研究呼吁构建高效协同的水资源管理机制,将水资源稀缺性作为核心考量因素纳入区域石油开发利用战略规划中。同时,加强能源部门与水资源管理部门的跨部门合作,科学规划开采布局与规模,确保石油开发活动不损害水资源安全。此外,通过虚拟稀缺水的区域调配、推广节水和水资源循环利用工艺技术等方式,推动中国石油资源的可持续开发利用。
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关键词 : 石油,投入产出分析,稀缺性,水足迹,虚拟水
Abstract

Oil is an important strategic resource for national security, but its development and utilization are restricted by water resources at present. Some studies have measured the water resource use of oil development and utilization through water footprint and virtual water, but they cannot fully reflect the water resource vulnerability of oil development and utilization. Based on the input-output analysis method and water resources pressure, this study develops the scarce water footprint assessment model and virtual scarce water trade estimation model. These models are used to analyze the consumption of scarce water resources and the driving of virtual scarce water trade by regional oil development and utilization in China. The results show that incorporating regional water resources pressure into water use assessment can better reflect the water resources constraints of China’s regional oil development and utilization. For Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, the amount of water resources used in oil development and utilization is not large, but it faces serious water scarcity problems on account of water pressure. Especially, oil, coking products, and nuclear fuel processing products of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region are faced with greater pressure of water shortage. To effectively mitigate the water resource vulnerability faced by the above regions in oil development and utilization, it is necessary to identify and manage critical virtual scarce water flows at the regional and sectoral levels. From the results at the regional level, it is necessary to focus on the transfer of virtual scarce water from net outflow areas of virtual scarce water such as Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region and Heilongjiang Province to net inflow areas of virtual scarce water such as Zhejiang Province and Liaoning Province in oil development and utilization. From the sector-level results, there is a need to focus on the diversion of virtual scarce water from the energy sector and agriculture to oil, coking, and nuclear fuel processing products. To effectively alleviate the pressure of water resources in oil development and utilization, this study calls for the establishment of an efficient and collaborative water resources management mechanism, and the inclusion of water scarcity as a core consideration in regional oil development and utilization strategic planning. At the same time, strengthen the cross-sectoral cooperation between the energy sector and the water resources management sector, scientifically plan the layout and scale of exploitation, and ensure that oil development activities do not harm water resources security. In addition, the sustainable development and utilization of China's oil resources are promoted through regional allocation of virtual scarce water, the promotion of water-saving and recycling technology of water resources.


Key words: oil; input-output analysis; scarcity; water footprint; virtual water
收稿日期: 2024-10-31     
PACS:    
基金资助:国家自然科学基金项目(52300241)、中国矿业大学( 北京) 大学生创新训练项目(202305030)、中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金联合资助
通讯作者: fengcuiyang@cumtb.edu.cn
引用本文:   
冯翠洋, 赵佳龙, 尹琳琳. 石油开发利用的水资源稀缺性评价研究. 石油科学通报, 2024, 09(05): 841-852 FENG Cuiyang, ZHAO Jialong, YIN Linlin. Water scarcity assessment for oil development and utilization. Petroleum Science Bulletin, 2024, 09(05): 841-852. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.2096-1693.2024.05.065
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