Current status and future development trends of Basin and Petroleum System Modeling (BPSM)
LIU Keyu1, 2, LIU Jianliang1, 2
1 School of Geosciences, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao 266580, China 2 Laboratory for Marine Mineral Resources, Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao 266071, China
摘要
盆地模拟在现代油气勘探、石油地质综合研究以及油气资源评价中都发挥着重要的作用。本文基于大量文献调研,结合近几年研究认识,系统概述了盆地和含油气系统模拟(Basin and Petroleum System Modelling, BPSM)在国内外的研究现状及存在的问题,指出了地层正演和含油气系统耦合及地应力和含油气系统耦合模拟的盆地模拟发展趋势。认为盆地模拟将来的发展方向是:1)三维、高精度和高计算速度模拟;2)新算法应用和新模块嵌入;3)静态地质要素定量表征精细化;4)构造复杂地区盆地模拟;5)常规-非常规油气系统联合模拟。
Basin and Petroleum System Modelling (BPSM) is becoming an essential part of modern petroleum exploration in several aspects: including hydrocarbon resource assessment, frontier basin exploration and reservoir plays and fairway delineation in mature basins. On the basis of a comprehensive review of the up-to-date literature and experience of our own research, we summarized the current status of the applications of basin modelling, some outstanding challenges and outlined future development trends. A coupled stratigraphic (forward) and basin-and-petroleum-system modelling of the unconventional petroleum resources in the Ordos Basin is presented to demonstrate the necessity of considering fine-scale sedimentary heterogeneities in BPSM. The main development tendencies include: 1) three-dimensional, high-resolution and high-speed computation; 2) enhancement of new simulation algorithms and methods and independent add-in modules; 3) refined and quantitative characterization of petroleum system elements, including source rock, reservoir and seal rocks; 4) modelling tectonically complex basins and 5) integrated modelling of conventional and unconventional petroleum systems.
Key words:
Basin and Petroleum System Modelling; current status; development trend; coupled modelling; Ordos Basin
收稿日期: 2017-04-05
PACS:
基金资助:
通讯作者:
刘可禹, liukeyu@upc.edu.cn
引用本文:
刘可禹,刘建良. 盆地和含油气系统模拟(BPSM)研究现状及发展趋势[J]. 石油科学通报, 2017, 2(2): 161-175. LIU Keyu, LIU Jianliang. Current status and future development trends of Basin and Petroleum System Modeling (BPSM). Petroleum Science Bulletin, 2017, 2(2): 161-175.